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31 March 2005
Mugabe Election Win May Spark `No-Brainer' Zimbabwe Devaluation
...'I don't think that a free and fair election is possible in Zimbabwe given the technical deficiencies such as the absence of an independent electoral commission, a proper voters' roll and the political environment,' says Chris Maroleng, a researcher at the Institute of Security Studies in Pretoria, South Africa. 'The question is, how overwhelming will the ZANU-PF victory be.'
SA Troops Gear Up For DRC Clashes
South African troops under a United Nations peace enforcement mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are preparing for "hostile and full-scale" action...
Institute for Security Studies military analyst Henri Boschoff said the situation in Ituri was extremely hostile and volatile."
South Africa: Sector Policing Swings Communities Behind a New War On Crime
A new approach developed by police to help reduce crime in urban areas has helped build relationships with communities, but still faces challenges, a researcher has found...
...'As sector police get to know, and get to be known, in their sectors, so they begin to receive and spend more time responding to a wider array of complaints,' Steinberg writes in an Institute for Security Studies publication titled Sector Policing on the West Rand.
Comoros: Chronic Poverty Pushes Anjounese To Risk Their Lives
In a desperate attempt to escape grinding poverty, thousands of Anjouanese continue to risk everything to make the perilous journey from the Comoros to the nearby island of Mayotte...
...Richard Cornwell of the South African-based Institute for Security Studies noted that there was also an appeal to cultural sensibilities - the longer association with France and the subsequent Creolisation and Christianisation of much of the Mahorian population.
South Africa: Firearms Amnesty a Success, Say Experts
South Africa has introduced a firearm amnesty in a bid to reduce gun violence, the single largest cause of violent death in the country...
...Sarah Meek, head of the arms management programme at the Pretoria-based Institute for Security Studies, told IRIN that overall the amnesty appeared to have been a success.
What If?
What if the main opposition party in Zimbabwe, the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), wins a surprise victory in Zimbabwe’s parliamentary elections, which kick off today?...
...This, writes Chris Maroleng in an Institute for Security Studies paper released earlier this month, could precipitate the intervention of the army in support of Mugabe.
29 March 2005
Wily Mugabe Frustrates South Africa
South Africa's fumbling bid to end Zimbabwe's political crisis is unlikely to see better results after next week's Zimbabwean parliamentary polls, political analysts say...
...'Mbeki has been careful not to antagonise those who sympathise with Mugabe's rhetoric,' said Chris Maroleng, analyst at Pretoria-based Institute for Security Studies.
Cleric Urges 'Peaceful Revolt'
An outspoken Zimbabwean archbishop has called for a peaceful, popular uprising to overthrow the country’s longstanding leader, Robert Mugabe...
...Political analyst Chris Maroleng, of South Africa's Institute for Security Studies, suggested Mr Mbeki's stance is born out of concern 'to maintain stability and not to create a spill over of refugees into the region,' Mr Maroleng said.
South Africa: Amnesty Gathers 1% of Illegal Guns
According to statistics compiled by Gun Free SA and the Institute for Security Studies, 375 children under the age of 12 and 324 minors between 12 and 17 years of age were killed by guns in 2000 alone – an average of two youngsters a day. A breakdown of the killings in which a firearm was used reveals that the fatal weapon was a handgun in 26 percent of cases, followed by rifles and shotguns (each 24 percent).
In Zimbabwe, People Power Fails to Ignite
In the past four months, spontaneous democratic movements have transformed Ukraine and Lebanon. In South Africa, the masses overthrew decades of autocracy when the racist apartheid regime fell in 1994.
'There's been no spontaneous combustion' - despite several sparks that could have ignited it, says Chris Maroleng, a Zimbabwe expert at the Institute for Security Studies in Pretoria, South Africa.
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